Labour Market Seasonality in Canada: Trends and Policy Implications

Abstract

This report examines labour market seasonality in Canada over the past three decades to assess what policies might best address seasonal economies. Key findings include: overall seasonality has declined since 1976 across a wide range of output and labour market variables, though unemployment rate seasonality has increased since 1996; seasonality is higher for young workers and men than for older workers and women; Canada’s employment seasonality was more than three times higher than the United States in 2003; and relative to OECD countries, Canada has average unemployment rate seasonality but very high employment seasonality. The report discusses policy implications including people versus place prosperity and policy approaches to address seasonal unemployment.

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