Recent Productivity Developments in Canada and the United States: Productivity Growth Deceleration versus Acceleration

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Abstract

This article documents the sharp divergence in labour productivity growth between Canada and the United States after 2000, with U.S. business sector output per hour growing at an average of 4.6 per cent per year in 2001-2003 — a post-2000 acceleration — while Canada’s growth decelerated. The article attributes Canada’s weaker performance to its labour market: employment declined in the United States but grew strongly in Canada, absorbing output gains and dampening measured productivity growth. The author argues Canada’s productivity underperformance is largely cyclical and should reverse as the economy recovers.

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