An Analysis of the Labour Productivity Growth Slowdown in Canada since 2000

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Abstract

This article examines the puzzling slowdown in Canadian business sector labour productivity growth since 2000, falling from 2.8 per cent per year in 1996-2000 to just 0.9 per cent per year, while the United States accelerated to 3.8 per cent. The authors assess several potential explanations including weakness in ICT manufacturing, slower machinery and equipment investment growth, weaker overall economic growth, and high commodity prices. While expecting future data revisions to improve the Canadian picture somewhat, they conclude that the slowdown reflects real structural factors and that future productivity performance is largely in the hands of the private sector, supported by a competitive business climate.

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