Digitalization and the Future of Productivity: Possibilities and Measurement

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Abstract

This article examines the implications of digitalization for productivity measurement and future productivity growth prospects, drawing on evidence from the Bank of Canada’s research agenda. It discusses three channels through which digitalization affects productivity: raising TFP in ICT-producing sectors, enabling productivity gains in ICT-using sectors through reorganization and complementary investments, and generating new free digital goods that are not captured in GDP. The article argues that mismeasurement of digital output likely explains only a small part of the productivity slowdown, and that organizational and skills investments are the key binding constraints on realizing digital productivity gains.

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