Are Intangibles Running out of Steam?
Cite this article as:
van Ark, Bart, Klaas de Vries, and Abdul Erumban. 2024. “Are Intangibles Running out of Steam?” International Productivity Monitor, No. 46 (Spring 2024): 38–59.
Abstract
Résumé
Using the EUKLEMS-INTANProd database (2023 release) for nine EU countries, the UK, and the U.S., this article asks whether intangible capital has lost productivity momentum. Intangible investment shares of nominal GDP continue to rise, but real intangible capital stock growth has moderately slowed. The contribution of intangible capital deepening to labour productivity growth remains positive but insufficient to offset the large decline in tangible capital deepening. Labour productivity growth has slowed relatively more in the most intangible-intensive industries (especially the UK and U.S.). Econometric analysis finds little evidence of strong TFP spillovers from intangible deepening, and mixed evidence on complementarities. Policy should focus on broad-based investment in both tangible and intangible assets.
À l’aide de la base de données EUKLEMS-INTANProd (version 2023) pour neuf pays de l’UE, le Royaume-Uni et les États-Unis, cet article se demande si le capital immatériel a perdu son dynamisme de productivité. Les parts de l’investissement immatériel dans le PIB nominal continuent d’augmenter, mais la croissance réelle du stock de capital immatériel a modérément ralenti. La contribution de l’approfondissement du capital immatériel à la croissance de la productivité du travail reste positive mais insuffisante pour compenser le large recul de l’approfondissement du capital tangible. L’analyse économétrique trouve peu de données probantes de forts effets de retombées de PMF provenant de l’approfondissement immatériel.