A Sectoral Analysis of Ontario’s Weak Productivity Growth

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Abstract

Since 2005, labour productivity growth in Ontario’s business sector has been zero, greatly under-performing the rest of Canada and being single-handedly responsible for most of what has been described as “Canada’s dismal productivity growth.” This article examines the issue through detailed sectoral data, and finds a wide range of variation underlying the average productivity growth rate. Some important sectors have maintained decent productivity growth. Other sectors, especially in manufacturing, saw the level of productivity decline significantly. Empirical evidence suggests that weak aggregate demand—due to the high Canadian dollar, the U.S. recession, and global restructuring—was the main cause of weak productivity. Weak demand led to lost economies of scale, particularly due to compositional shifts in the economy. O NE OF THE MOST WIDELY used economic

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