---
canonical_url: "https://csls.ca/research/future-productivity-growth-in-canada-and-implications-for-the-canada-pension-plan/"
title: "Future Productivity Growth in Canada and Implications for the Canada Pension Plan"
author:
  name: "CSLS"
  url: "https://csls.ca/author/cslc/"
date_published: "2026-07-02T13:48:05+00:00"
date_modified: "2026-07-02T13:48:05+00:00"
post_type: "research"
summary: ""
post_tag:
  - "Canada"
  - "Canada Pension Plan"
  - "CPP"
  - "demographic variables"
  - "earnings"
  - "future projections"
  - "productivity"
country_focus:
  - "Canada"
province_region:
  - "National"
research_theme:
  - "Fiscal Policy"
  - "Productivity and Economic Measurement"
featured_image: "https://csls.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/old-reports_hero_banner_bg.webp"
status: "publish"
---

# Future Productivity Growth in Canada and Implications for the Canada Pension Plan

Canonical URL: https://csls.ca/research/future-productivity-growth-in-canada-and-implications-for-the-canada-pension-plan/

# Future Productivity Growth in Canada and Implications for the Canada Pension Plan

[Download full PDF report](https://csls.ca/pdf/csls2006-01-1.pdf)

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Sharpe, Andrew. 2006. “Future Productivity Growth in Canada and Implications for the Canada Pension Plan.” CSLS Research Report 2006-01. Ottawa: Centre for the Study of Living Standards. https://csls.ca/research/future-productivity-growth-in-canada-and-implications-for-the-canada-pension-plan/

## Author:

-
Andrew Sharpe
Centre for the Study of Living Standards (CSLS)

## Report 2006-01

April 2006 28 pages

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## Abstract

## Résumé

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This is organized into three main parts. The first section provides a perspective on future productivity growth in Canada. It discusses key productivity concepts, looks at current productivity trends, examines the forces affecting future productivity growth, and reviews productivity projections in Canada and the United States. The second section discusses the relationship between productivity growth and the real earnings of workers, and examines the implications of different productivity assumptions for CPP financial projections. The third part examines the relationship between productivity growth and other key variables affecting CPP financial projections, namely the real rate of return on investments, price increases, participation rates, retirement rates, migration rate, mortality rate, fertility rate, and disability rates.

Ce rapport se divise en trois grandes parties. La première section présente une perspective sur la croissance future de la productivité au Canada. Elle traite des principaux concepts de productivité, examine les tendances actuelles de la productivité, étudie les forces influençant la croissance future de la productivité, et recense les projections de productivité au Canada et aux États-Unis. La deuxième section traite de la relation entre la croissance de la productivité et les gains réels des travailleurs, et examine les répercussions de différentes hypothèses de productivité sur les projections financières du Régime de pensions du Canada (RPC). La troisième partie examine la relation entre la croissance de la productivité et d’autres variables clés influençant les projections financières du RPC, à savoir le taux de rendement réel des investissements, la hausse des prix, les taux d’activité, les taux de retraite, le taux de migration, le taux de mortalité, le taux de fécondité et les taux d’invalidité.

[Download full PDF report](https://csls.ca/pdf/csls2006-01-1.pdf)
