--- canonical_url: "https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-25/european-productivity-growth-since-2000-and-future-prospects/" title: "European Productivity Growth Since 2000 and Future Prospects" author: name: "CSLS" url: "https://csls.ca/author/cslc/" date_published: "2026-07-13T07:37:47+00:00" date_modified: "2026-07-13T07:37:47+00:00" post_type: "ipm" summary: "" ipm_issue_period: - "Spring 2013" ipm_keyword: - "debt crisis" - "demographic" - "EU KLEMS" - "Europe" - "outlook" - "productivity" - "projections 2025" - "recession" - "TFP" ipm_research_theme: - "Productivity trends and comparisons" ipm_country_focus: - "Europe" - "Germany" - "International" - "United States" featured_image: "https://csls.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/IPM_50_banner.webp" status: "publish" --- # European Productivity Growth Since 2000 and Future Prospects Canonical URL: https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-25/european-productivity-growth-since-2000-and-future-prospects/ # European Productivity Growth Since 2000 and Future Prospects [Download full PDF article](https://csls.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/IPM-ISsue-25-7-van-Ark-Jager.pdf) Cite this article × Cite this article as: van Ark, Bart, Vivian Chen, and Kirsten Jäger. 2013. “European Productivity Growth Since 2000 and Future Prospects.” International Productivity Monitor, No. 25 (Spring 2013): 65–83. https://www.csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-25/european-productivity-growth-since-2000-and-future-prospects/ ## Authors: - Bart van Ark University of Manchester / The Productivity Institute - Vivian Chen The Conference Board - Kirsten Jäger The Conference Board; University of Groningen ## IPM Issue 25 Spring 2013 pp. 65–83 ## Related IPM articles [Efficiency Adjustment of Hours Worked: Two Possible Modifications of a Jorgensen Production Model Barbara Fraumeni Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 103–115](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/efficiency-adjustment-of-hours-worked-two-possible-modifications-of-a-jorgensen-production-model/) [Labour Productivity as a Measure of Technological Change Ulrich Kohli Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 64–81](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/labour-productivity-as-a-measure-of-technological-change/) [The Relationship between Efficiencies Defenses for Mergers and TFP Growth Robin Shaban Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 82–102](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/the-relationship-between-efficiencies-defenses-for-mergers-and-tfp-growth/) [Adult Skills and Productivity: New Evidence from PIAAC 2023 Dan Andrews, Balázs Égert, Christine de La Maisonneuve Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 41–63](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/adult-skills-and-productivity-new-evidence-from-piaac-2023/) [The Potential Impact of Pro-competitive Regulatory Reforms on Productivity and Growth in Canada Gilbert Cette, Jimmy Lopez, Giuseppe Nicoletti, Océane Vernerey Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 3–40](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/the-potential-impact-of-pro-competitive-regulatory-reforms-on-productivity-and-growth-in-canada/) [IPM Issue 49 Editors’ Overview Andrew Sharpe, Bart van Ark, Paul Schreyer Fall 2025 | IPM Issue 49 | pp. 1–2](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-49/) [Appendix: UK Productivity Growth Rates Across Data Vintages and Studies Josh Martin Spring 2025 | IPM Issue 48 | pp. 65–73](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-48/appendix-uk-productivity-growth-rates-across-data-vintages-and-studies/) [The UK Productivity Slowdown: A Review of Timing, Magnitude, and Drivers Josh Martin Spring 2025 | IPM Issue 48 | pp. 1–34](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-48/the-uk-productivity-slowdown-a-review-of-timing-magnitude-and-drivers/) [Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence for Productivity Francesco Filippucci, Peter Gal, Katharina Laengle, Matthias Schief, Filiz Unsal Spring 2025 | IPM Issue 48 | pp. 1–26](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-48/opportunities-and-risks-of-artificial-intelligence-for-productivity/) [Using Ecosystem Accounting to Integrate the Environment in Measures of Multifactor Productivity Carl Obst Fall 2024 | IPM Issue 47 | pp. 87–108](https://csls.ca/ipm-archive/ipm-issue-47/using-ecosystem-accounting-to-integrate-the-environment-in-measures-of-multifactor-productivity/) ## Abstract ## Résumé EN FR Copy link Email LinkedIn This article revisits the issue of Europe’s growth slowdown, taking into account the latest experiences from the recession and the debt crisis since 2008. There are few, if any, signs of even the beginnings of a reversal in the slowing growth trend, which is primarily driven by the weak productivity performance in most European countries. Recently, slow productivity growth has broadened from the services sector to the goods sector for most European economies. Output growth projections out to 2025 show a deceleration in Europe’s growth trend compared to the pre-recession period, and even compared to the latest period, 20062012, there are no signs of significant acceleration in the growth trend. Demographic structures and continued slow total factor productivity growth are both dampening trend output growth, although there will be large variation between different EU economies. RÉSUMÉ Le présent article revient sur la question du ralentissement de la croissance de la productivité en Europe et tient compte des dernières expériences de la récession et de la crise de l’endettement depuis 2008. Il y a peu ou pas de signe d’un renversement de la vapeur pour ce qui est du ralentissement de la croissance, causé principalement par la faible productivité dans la plupart des pays européens. Le faible taux de croissance de la productivité s’est récemment répandu, du secteur des services au secteur des biens, dans la plupart des pays européens. Les prévisions concernant la croissance de la production jusqu’en 2025 ne démontrent aucun signe d’accélération importante par rapport à la tendance actuelle. Les structures démographiques et la faible croissance de la productivité totale des facteurs entravent la croissance de la production, quoique l’écart sera vaste entre les différents pays de l’UE. L IKE ELSEWHERE IN THE ADVANCED world, Cet article revient sur la question du ralentissement de la croissance européenne, en tenant compte des dernières expériences issues de la récession et de la crise de la dette depuis 2008. Il y a peu, voire aucun, signe d’une inversion de la tendance au ralentissement de la croissance, qui est principalement portée par la faible performance de productivité dans la plupart des pays européens. Récemment, la faible croissance de la productivité s’est étendue du secteur des services au secteur des biens pour la plupart des économies européennes. Les projections de croissance de la production jusqu’en 2025 montrent une décélération de la tendance de croissance de l’Europe par rapport à la période précédant la récession, et même par rapport à la dernière période 2006-2012, il n’y a aucun signe d’accélération significative de la tendance de croissance. Les structures démographiques et la persistance d’une faible croissance de la PMF freinent toutes deux la croissance tendancielle de la production, bien qu’il y aura de grandes variations entre les différentes économies de l’UE. [Download full PDF](https://csls.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/IPM-ISsue-25-7-van-Ark-Jager.pdf)