CSLS-Industry Canada Conference on Canada in the 21st Century: A Time for Vision,
Château Laurier Hotel, Ottawa, Ontario, September 17-18, 1999

Background  As a new millennium approaches, Canadians are going through a time of dramatic economic change. To examine fully the medium to longer term opportunities and challenges of these developments, Industry Canada asked a group of experts to provide their "vision" for Canada in the 21st century on a number of important issues. The authors first identified major historical trends and developed scenarios to illustrate how trends in their areas might unfold over the next ten to fifteen years, and then identified the medium-term consequences of the developments for the Canadian economy. Topics covered include global economic trends, international economic relationships, demographic developments, investment and innovation, productivity and living standard issues, environmental quality, labour market issues, and business and government responses to economic challenges.   The CSLS-Industry Canada Conference on Canada in the 21st Century will take place at the Chateau Laurier Hotel in Ottawa, Ontario on Friday, September 17 and Saturday, September 18, 1999. To reserve a room at the Chateau Laurier call 613-241-1414 or 1-800-441-1413. Rooms are also available for conference participants at the rate of $115 (plus taxes) per night single or double occupancy at the Lord Elgin Hotel, a five minute walk from the conference hotel. To reserve call 613-235-3333 or 1-800-267-4298. Rooms are also available at the Town House Motor Hotel at the rate of $85 (plus taxes), including parking. Call 1-888-789-4949.

Program

Friday, September 17 8:00-9:00 AM	Registration, Coffee and Muffins
9:00-9:15 AM	Opening Remarks Andrei Sulzenko (Industry Canada) Ian Stewart (Chair, Centre for the Study of Living Standards)
9:15-10:15 AM	Session 1 Global Economic Trends Affecting Canada Chair: Serge Nadeau (Industry Canada) Panel: Wendy Dobson (University of Toronto) “Globalizing trends and Canada's economic future”  (17 Kb) Gilles Paquet (University of Ottawa) “Canada 2015: The governance challenge”  (58 Kb) Harvey Lazar (Queen's University)
10:15-10:30 AM	Break
10:30-11:45 AM	Session 2  Demographic Challenges Facing Canada Chair: Denis Gauthier (Health Canada) Paper: David K. Foot (University of Toronto), Tom McCormack (Strategic Projections) and Richard Loreto (RAL Consulting Ltd.) “Demographic Trends in Canada, 1996-2006: Implications for the Public and Private Sectors”  (166Kb) Panel: Michael Wolfson (Statistics Canada)
11:45-1:00 PM	Session 3  Maintaining a Healthy Labour Market Chair: Jean-Pierre Voyer (HRDC) Paper: David A. Green (University of British Columbia) and Paul Beaudry (University of British Columbia) “Individual Responses to Changes in the Canadian Labour Market”  (521 Kb) Panel: Alice Nakamura (University of Alberta)          Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University) “Maintaining a Healthy Labour Market”  (22 Kb)
1:00-2:45 PM	Luncheon Speaker: Frank Graves (Ekos) “Canadians' Perceptions of Economic Challenges in the 21st Century”  (93 Kb) Conclusions' Slides  (42 Kb)
2:45-4:30 PM	Session 4 Productivity and Living Standard Scenarios for the New Millenium Chair: Someshwar Rao (Industry Canada) Paper: Rick Harris (Simon Fraser University) “Determinants of Productivity Growth and the Prospective Developments in Productivity Trends”  (175 Kb) Panel: Andrew Sharpe The Contribution of Productivity to Economic Well-being in Canada.  (15 Kb) (CSLS)           Serge Coulombe (University of Ottawa) “Converging on the Canada-US Productivity Paradox”  (65 Kb)           Pierre Fortin (UQAM)
4:30-4:45 PM	Break
4:45-5:45 PM	Session 5 Sustaining a Quality Environment for Canadians Chair: Jerry Beausoleil (Industry Canada) Panel: Quentin Grafton (University of Ottawa) Sustaining a Quality Environment for Canadians  (95 Kb)           Doug Smith (Carleton University) Sustaining a Quality Environment for Canadians  (22 Kb)           Glen Toner (Carleton University) Sustainable Development & the Knowledge Economy: Public Policy and Product Innovation  (31 Kb)
6:00-7:00	Reception, Cash Bar
7:00	Dinner Speaker: Robert J.Gordon (Northwestern University) “Has the New Economy Finally Revived Productivity Growth?”  (57 Kb)
September 18 8:30-10:15 AM	Session 6 Fostering Investment and Innovation in Canada Chair: David Slater (CSLS) Papers: Ronald P.M. Giammarino (University of British Columbia) “Capital Investment Challenges in Canada”  (130 Kb) Christian DeBresson (Université du Québec à Montréal) and Stéphanie Barker (Université de Montréal) “Looking to the 21st Century - Infrastructure Investments for Economic Growth and for the Welfare and Well-Being of Canadians”  (297 Kb) Manuel Trajtenberg (Tel-Aviv University) “Is Canada Missing the "Technology Boat"? Evidence from Patent Data”  (184 Kb) Panel: Don McFetridge (Carleton University) Fostering Investment and Innovation in Canada  (18 Kb)           Paul Davenport (University of Western Ontario)
10:15-10:30 AM	Break
10:30-12:00 PM	Session 7 Canada's Evolving International Trade and Investment Relationships Chair: Pierre-Paul Proulx (Université de Montréal) Papers: Randy Wigle (Wilfrid Laurier University) “Broad Liberalization Based on Fundamentals: A Framework for Canadian Commercial Policy Randy Wigle”  (139 Kb) Gary C. Hufbauer (Institute for International Economics) and Jeffrey Schott (Institute for International Economics) “North American Economic Integration: 25 Years Backward and Forward”  (240 Kb) Panel: Michael Hart (Carleton University)           Andrew Jackson (Canadian Labour Congress)
12:00-1:45 PM	Luncheon Speaker: Tom Courchene (Queen's University) “Why Canada Needs a Monetary Union with the United States”
1:45-3:15 PM	Session 8 “The Private Sector Response to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians ”  (24 Kb) Chair: Andrei Sulzenko (Industry Canada) Randall Morck (Harvard University) and Bernard Yeung (University of Michigan) “The Corporate Response - Innovation in the Information Age”  (191 Kb) Panel: Bob Baldwin (Canadian Labour Congress)          Jim Frank (Conference Board of Canada)          Roger Martin (University of Toronto) The Private Sector Response to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians”  (17 Kb)
3:15-3:30 PM	Break
3:30-5:00 PM	Closing Session The Response of Government to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians Chair: Kevin Lynch, (Deputy Minister, Industry Canada) Panel:   Keith Banting ( Queens University) “The Response of Government to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians”  (25 Kb)           Fred Gorbet (former Deputy Minister of Finance) “The Response of Government to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians”  (41 Kb)           Jim Lahey (Human Resources Development Canada) “The Response of Government to the Economic Challenges Facing Canadians”  (20 Kb)
Background Papers	J. Bradford De Long (University of California at Berkeley) “Global Trends: 1980-2015 and beyond”  (148 Kb) Julian R. Betts (University of California) “The Implications of Technological Change for Human Resource Policy”  (225) Brian R. Copeland (University of California) “Economics and the Environment: The Recent Canadian Experience and Prospects for the Future”  (209) Ronald Daniels (University of Toronto) “Institutions and Growth - Framework Policy as a Tool of Competitive Advantage for Canada”  (143)